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AMITOM crop update as of 5 October 2025

09/10/2025

2025 season
Sophie Colvine
AMITOM
Ukraine,
Middle East
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The season is almost finished and should be fulled completed by 15 October. It was very good with high quality and brix values around 5. The total volume processed is about 40,000 tonnes, of which 30,000 tonnes for the largest processor Balkan. 

The Summer Season was exceptional this year in particularly for color achieving +2.2 in final products. There were many days with high temperatures in average +40° (as it become the norm every year) which put pressure on the ripening of fresh tomatoes, and also advancing the maturity of some quantities from the next Nili Crop in some areas that were only supposed to start in October. This eventually pressured the daily supply of tomatoes to factories to oversupply level on many days.
Summer harvesting finished on 20th September and now it is a transition period till next the Nili Crop starts from the second week of November till the  end of December, while the Winter Crop (in southern governorates) starts from January till April.
For now the forecast of 780,000 tonnes is maintained for the year 2025 (Egypt crop is throughout the year, from January with the the beginning of Winter Crop till the end of Nili crop in December). 
The initial forecast for 2026 is 800,000 tonnes.

At the end of September the volume processed was 161,000 tonnes which is 92% of the contracts, with an average brix of 5 and 7.2% of penalties due largely to a lot of green tomatoes. In the Southwest processing it at 80% of contracts.  There was a lot of rain in the Southeast last week with up to 130 mm in two hours in some, luckily less on the tomato fields but the weather is better this week, with wind drying the fields and no rain forecast. The harvest should finish in 15 to 20  days at the level of the contracts of 175,000 tonnes, maybe slightly more.

The last factory closed on Sunday 28 september. It was a very smooth season with a total volume processed of about 510,000 tonnes.

The weather was typically favourable for tomatoes after the cooler May, apart from the drought, but producers had the necessary capacities for irrigation. The dry weather helped to avoid crop protection problems. Therefore this year’s harvest was outstanding in both quality and quantity. The average brix at Univer was 5.5, a historical best and the average field yield was 97 t/ha, an outstanding result from about 1,000 ha.

The season ended last week. According to the previous forecast, this year’s processing season closed with a higher quantity, approximately 97,000 tonnes, of which two-thirds for Univer and one-third for Aranyfácán.

The crop is delayed and factories will still be running for another 2 to 3 weeks or maybe until the end of October. Some rain in the north did not really affect the season. The forecast is confirmed at 1.8 million tonnes, nearly a 30% increase from the 1.4 million tonnes from 2024. The main challenges were due to water shortages and electrical power cuts, the political tensions causing uncertainties on the markets, and continuing pressures from fluctuating energy and labour costs.

In the North, the last official figures show that as of 21 September, 2.85 million tonnes had been processed of which 350,000 tonnes in the last week (week 38), with an average brix of 5.05, 4.9% penalties and a payment index of 101%. 

During week 39 (22-28 September) very small volumes were processed due to widespread rains, especially in the West, with around 80 mm in some areas. The weather was better last week and harvesting fully resumed. The season is however nearing the end with many factories already closed and the others closing at the end of this week with only one factory expected to operate after 5 October. The total forecast is now 3.025 million tonnes.  

In the Centre and South, the weather in September has been very good, better than average, and the volume processed is higher than expected, notably for the long varieties. Quality remains good, with good colour although brix levels have decreased as is normal for the season. Many factories closed at the end of September although some are still running. The expectation is now 2.675 million tonnes, bringing the total for Italy back to 5.7 million tonnes. 

Italy: Trend 2021 – 2025 (provisional)

Italy: Weekly trend 2025 to week 39

Late spring rains forced planting to start later than usual: instead of the end of March, it could only be normalized from May onwards. Stable weather conditions allowed this operation to continue until the second week of June.

Due to delayed transplanting, harvesting and processing could only begin in week 32, with just two factories in operation. In week 33, most processors started running at reduced speed, gradually increasing their daily capacity between the end of week 32 and the beginning of week 34. From week 35 onwards, a few were operating at 50%, while the remaining units gradually reached full capacity.

In this campaign, not all units were able to operate at full capacity, as the early fields produced low yields, with volumes only improving from week 35 onwards. Although the initial estimated volume for Portugal is expected to show a decline, some processors will achieve their production targets.

Overall, the ongoing crop has demonstrated very good quality results in the majority of processing units.

Although this crop presented unique characteristics due to delayed transplanting and harvesting – occurring approximately two weeks later than usual – the quality of Portuguese production was not compromised. Portuguese tomatoes are renowned for their balanced sugar-to-acid ratio and, in particular, for their strong colour. In the 2025 crop, this attribute was further enhanced, with consistently high values recorded throughout the season.

On the other hand, the lower Brix value of the fresh tomato had a negative impact on processing efficiency.

The last two weeks have been quite good for the time of the year with one very good week followed by some rain on 27-28 September which was not significant and only slowed operations temporarily. The weather is currently good with temperatures of 27-28 °C with nights at 15-17°C. As of 28 September, 82% of the forecast of 1.3 million tonnes had been achieved, and there are still significant volumes to be harvested. The harvest is now slowing down and the season should end around 15-16 October. Quality remains good with good colour and brix around 5°.

The season is nearly over in Andalusia with only one factory still running.

In Extremadura factories in the vegas Altas have all closed and the season should end around 13/14 October in the Begas Bajas where there was a peak in production last week. 

In the North, the harvest is going well. Factories are still at full capacity and should operate until 20th October. 

The overall forecast remains 2.4 million tonnes, down from the first estimate of 2.6 million tonnes. 

The season is now finished and the total volume processed in 2025 was 935,000 tonnes in 24 plants. A total of 15,700 ha were planted. 

Region Production (in tonnes)
Nabeul 340,000
North West 308,000
Central 126,000
Tunis 162,000
Total 935,000

Planted surface in Turkey was decreased by 25% compared to last year due to low tomato prices in 2024. Production has ended in south, last days in north region. Konya region will continue another week. Season was stable : decent weather conditions, stable prices , balanced supply-demand , low processing capacity used. The total production is 2.2 million tonnes.

The forecast is now reduced to 500,000 tonnes, or maybe less.

AMITOM provisional 2025 production

Source: AMITOM

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